mrlewishistoricalsociety

Tuesday, May 30, 2006

American Families and Growth

Full House
Three is the new two. And in some towns -- especially affluent ones -- four or more is the new three. Educated moms who once managed budgets and schedules at work are now doing the same in their homes teeming with kids.

By Neil Swidey | May 28, 2006

THE "CAR LINE" OUTSIDE THE WELLESLEY NURSERY SCHOOL IN the Hills on this brilliant spring day is pretty much what you'd expect for one of the most well-regarded preschools in one of Boston's most sought-after suburbs. Attractive, fit moms wearing designer jeans stand in front of a train of tricked-out SUVs, chitchatting about play dates, the sunshine, and converting their closet inventories to warm-weather clothing.

"Cute pants," one mom says to Kristine DeMatteo, who is 41, has blond shoulder-length hair, and is wearing knit slacks rather than Lucky Brand denim.

Looking out over her sunglasses, DeMatteo replies, "I wanted to wear them one more time before putting them in the dry-cleaning bag and packing them away for the season."

Many of the moms hold small white placards with large red numbers, which they flash when the preschool's staffers lead the children outside. That way, the staffers know which child belongs to which car pool. It's a pleasant, orderly, slightly Stepfordian scene. This pickup could have played out the same way in Wellesley 10 or 20 years ago, except for changes in fashion. And family size.

When DeMatteo buckles her 4-year-old daughter into her car seat, it is not in a Volvo station wagon or a Mercedes SUV but rather a gray Chevy Suburban. That once downmarket beast of a machine, more West Texas than west-of-Boston suburb, is becoming a common sight in the driveways that curve through Wellesley's rolling lawns. DeMatteo was drawn to the Suburban because it comfortably seats eight, with plenty of room left over for three or four hockey bags. She needs every inch of space. She and her husband have six kids, ranging in age from 13 to 2, each spaced roughly two years apart.

Her family would appear to be a throwback to a different time and a different place, when bands of brothers would make their way through working-class neighborhoods like Dorchester or Charlestown, and people would look up and say, "Oh, here come the Sullivan boys." After three decades of declining birthrates, oversize families should be gone by now. For reasons of finance or ecology or lifestyle or just plain fatigue, smaller families represent a more prudent path for most people. That path would logically be favored by the many parents today who begin obsessing about their children's college prospects while videotaping their first halting steps across their hardwood floor. After all, researchers have found that children from larger families generally don't go as far academically as those from smaller ones.

But prudence can be overrated. National birth statistics show a small but steady uptick in the number of American women having three children in recent years, leading parents and pediatricians alike to talk about how "three is the new two." In 2004, 28 percent of all American births were to mothers who already had at least two children, up from 26 percent in 1995, according to the National Center for Health Statistics. Specifically for women having their third child, the rate was nearly 10 percent higher in 2004 than it was in 1995. More surprising, in many affluent towns teeming with families managed by highly educated stay-at-home moms, three is far from the end point. Around Wellesley these days, four feels like the new three.

Just look at classroom No. 8 at the Wellesley Nursery School in the Hills. DeMatteo's daughter is the only one who comes from a family of six kids. But Laurel is one of five. So is Mark. Then there are Ryan, Jack, Andrew, and Adam, who each come from a family with four kids. Shane will join their ranks when his new sister arrives in a few months. Right now, he's in the three-kid camp with Lucy, Nicole, and Natalie. In fact, of the class's 20 preschoolers, 12 come from families with three or more kids. And let's not forget Owen. He is one of eight, and his father says a ninth is likely. Definitely don't want to forget Owen.

"I'm a stay-at-home mom," says DeMatteo, who put aside plans for a law career after having her first child. "You tend to have more kids because you're here, this is what you do, you're in that groove. So why not keep going?"

IN 1790, NOTES DEMOGRAPHICS SCHOLAR BEN WATTENBERG, the average American woman had 7.7 children -- enough that Ben Franklin had reported seeing children swarming the countryside like locusts. Turns out, he had little to worry about. Apart from the post-World War II baby boom during the nation's prosperity-fueled march to the suburbs, family size in American history has been a story of steady decline. Then again, with infant mortality rates dropping by more than one order of magnitude in the last century, there's been far less of a need for large broods. Like the pandas and white pelicans of the present day, the parents of our agricultural, pre-vaccine past deliberately had more offspring than they expected to end up with. More info.

Still, the baby boom was quite a detour. In Massachusetts, the nexus of religion and politics helped keep the boom years going. The Catholic Church's prohibition on any birth control that didn't involve counting and calendars got backing from Beacon Hill. In fact, it wasn't until 1966 that the Legislature amended the state's 19th century ban on contraceptive devices. Even then, the Massachusetts ban was lifted only for married couples; it remained in place for unmarried people until 1972, when the US Supreme Court ruled it unconstitutional.

By the early 1970s, everything was beginning to change. Inflation, recession, and the energy crisis put the squeeze on family finances. More women were pursuing higher education and entering the workforce. Liberalized views on birth control among Catholics (if not the Vatican) and even Roe v. Wade gave mothers more options. The environmental movement's drumbeat to conserve global resources grew louder. And family sizes shrunk accordingly. In 1957, the national birthrate for third children hit its peak of 23.9 per 1,000 births. By 1975, it had sunk to its nadir of 9.4. Those numbers stayed relatively low through the mid-1980s, when record numbers of women became working moms. And since there has traditionally been such a robust connection between high female education and low fertility, Massachusetts, with its extremely educated workforce, has had particularly low birthrates. Even today, the state's birthrate is below both the national average and what's referred to as the "replacement rate" -- the point at which the new babies coming into the world compensate for the old souls departing it. This latest blip of bigger families is still too new and too modest to threaten to reverse that in any meaningful way. (Or to compensate for the tens of thousands of people moving out of Massachusetts every year.)

Yet something interesting began happening in the mid-1990s, across the nation and particularly around here. More older women -- educated and established in their careers -- began having children. In 1996, for the first time in Massachusetts history, more babies were born to moms over the age of 30 than to those under 30. The spread has only widened in the years since. In 2004, some 44,000 babies in this state were born to moms age 30 and older, while 34,000 were born to those under 30. Since biology is basically indifferent to societal trends, a lot more of those older moms have needed help getting pregnant. In the age of fertility treatments, a lot more twins and triplets are being born -- almost 50 percent more just in the last 10 years. These multiple births have contributed to the uptick in families with three or more kids. So has the growth of the Hispanic population, where family sizes are typically higher. And then there are the affluent families in places like Wellesley who can afford to supersize, if that's what feels right.

DR. JIM GOLDSTON SITS AT THE NURSE'S STATION ON THE FIFTH-floor maternity ward of Newton-Wellesley Hospital, returning calls, his pager in one hand and a telephone receiver resting on his shoulder. Behind him in room 507, 31-year-old Suzanne Wakefield of Newton has just delivered her third child (and second son). In the room next to her, 34-year-old Kim Daly of Westwood is cradling her fourth girl.

Goldston, a friendly, round-faced 45-year-old pediatrician, says these family sizes were aberrations when he began practicing in 1990. In the last couple of years, they have become more typical, particularly in family-focused towns like Needham, Holliston, and Wellesley. Standing beside him, nurse manager Mary Ellen Olsson nods in agreement. She's even seen it in her own family, as two of her daughters now have three children, and another is expecting her third. But you'll have to forgive Olsson for not getting too excited. She herself had nine kids, the first seven popping out in nine years.

A day after delivering her fourth, Kim Daly says she and her husband, Jack, are such believers in the positive dynamics of big families that they will probably keep going. They know most people assume they're just holding out for a boy, but they insist that's not really the case. "If God wants us to have all girls, we'll have them," Jack says, adding with a laugh, "but I think the next one will be a boy." In fact, Census figures show that couples whose first two children are the same sex are about 20 percent more likely to go for a third than those who have one of each.

Goldston has his own theories about why so many families are getting bigger. A decade or two ago, couples watching college costs escalate figured they had no choice but to limit family size. However, as costs continued to rise to absurd levels, he says many decided, "It's so expensive having two kids, how much worse can it be with three?"

On the flip side are the wealthy parents in his practice "who can afford to do whatever they want." Some of these couples find that of all the luxuries their bank balances allow them, they get no greater satisfaction than from their kids, so they decide to have more. There's something rather reassuring about that. Other motivations are less reassuring. "For some people in Wellesley," says Goldston, "having four kids has become the new status symbol, like having a luxury SUV. It says you can afford it; you can have a nanny to help you out."

Traditionally, the third child has been a major barrier to both parents working full time, considering that the combined day-care costs can eat up an entire salary. So three kids are more common in families in which one parent -- usually the mother -- is at home full time or has flexible part-time work. For all the talk in recent years of women "opting out" of careers to stay at home, half of all mothers still return to the workforce before their child's first birthday, says Kathleen Gerson, a sociology professor at New York University and board member of the Council on Contemporary Families. Not that there aren't lots of stay-at-home moms. It's just that they're mostly clustered at the top and bottom of the income scale. The poorer moms' job opportunities are so bleak that many don't feel they are giving up much to stay home. Many of the more affluent moms started out with the expectation that they could have it all, managing a successful career with one or two kids. But after experiencing the all-too-common work-family bind, they can walk away from the job without bringing financial pain to their families. In fact, Gerson says, "wealthy mothers are left without one of the major cultural rationales for choosing to work: that they need to."

Once these high-achieving women make the decision to stay home, the next one -- to have more kids -- is easier. After all, managing a bigger family can be a lot like managing an enterprise, with schedules and budgets and direct reports (of the offspring and household-help varieties).

Judy Heffernan left a good job in sales for the Four Seasons Hotel when she started having kids. She grew up in a family of six children, and she now has four of her own, ranging in age from 2 to 9. She wouldn't have it any other way. In fact, at 44, she says she would have had more kids had she not started so late. "It's like having a team."

Because affluent families can afford to hire nannies or au pairs (and don't have to fret about the prospect of another college tuition), the decision to go for the next child doesn't have to be as intimidating. "Every person I know who has four kids has full-time help," says Susan Morris, a 40-year-old former investment banker and current Wellesley mother of three. "People in this town like to have a lot of kids, but they don't necessarily like to raise them by themselves." Morris's husband would like to have a fourth, and seeing so many bigger families around her, she's felt some pressure to try to keep up. "If all your friends are having four, does that make you more likely to do it? Absolutely." But after having three kids in three years, she feels she is just starting to get her life back under control.

If she thinks she's feeling the heat, she should talk to Anna Lomes. The 33-year-old moved to Wellesley from Los Angeles three years ago. "Around here, we're the weird people on the street that just have one," she says. She once overheard a couple of 6-year-old girls from the neighborhood telling her 4-year-old son that they felt bad for him because he's an only child. Anna says she has long felt that one child was the right call for her and her husband, Scott, yet the relentless questions about "when are you going for number two?" have begun to wear her down.

"But my husband keeps me honest," she says, before adding: "Even he's cracking a little, though."

Scott sighs. "We talk about it on a daily basis."

I WAS THE FOURTH OF FIVE KIDS BORN IN ABOUT SIX YEARS. THAT piece of my personal history often gets a rise out of nice, sensible people. But when I was growing up in Somerset, a small Massachusetts town bordering the faded factory city of Fall River, there was nothing outlandish about my mother's pattern of rapid-fire delivery, and certainly not her overall output. Of the nine families in our neighborhood, one had two kids, two had three kids, two had four kids, and four had five kids. All these families were Catholic, so the church's prohibition on birth control probably played a role. Still, I would not underestimate the influence of the neighborhood's large-family profile. As is the case in Wellesley today, if big families are all around you, you're more likely to consider going that way.

I still marvel at my parents' ability to raise a big, close-knit family with aplomb. But they would be the first to admit that it was easier to swing back in the 1960s and '70s, when parents had more control over what their kids were exposed to and fewer demands to ferry them individually from one scheduled activity to another. When my two brothers, two sisters, and I weren't in school, we were out "playing," an all-encompassing category in those blissful pre-play-date days that consisted of packs of kids roaming the neighborhood for most of the day until the dinner bells started ringing or, in the case of our less inhibited neighbors, the fathers started bellowing for their kids to get their butts home. As a family, we didn't travel far, but when we did, it was pretty easy to get going. There were no five-point harness car seats to contend with. All seven of my family members could quickly pile into our 1964 Ford Falcon sedan that was built for five. My assigned seat? Lying along the back window ledge, next to the tissue box.

Sure, we sometimes drove one another nuts. But the positives vastly outweighed the negatives, and we all remain close.

Psychologists report that couples often try to approximate the family size they grew up with - if they had a positive experience, that is. If not, they tend to go in the opposite direction. Of course, husbands and wives bring their own family backgrounds to the decision. My wife was one of two kids. When it came to deciding on the size of our family, we split the difference at three, which, I have to confess, feels like the five-kid scene I grew up in, adjusted for inflation.

People always ask us which was the tougher transition: going from one to two, or two to three? The answer is clearest when one of us is working solo to get all three of our daughters bathed and in bed. Take this recent night: Our 6-year-old insisted on a "stand-up tubby," only to complain how cold she was, and our 3-year-old resisted getting into the bath at all, hiding under every bed in the house until I could corral her. Then our 1-year-old stood at the edge of the tub, making my heart stop as she tried to dive in whenever I so much as turned my head. (My wife is much better at this dance, since she's at home with our kids while running a part-time business.)

We probably could have been just as happy -- and less sleepy -- if we'd stopped after one or two children. And by now there's ample research to rebut all those old myths about only children being misfits. But we just love the vibe you get in a house with lots of kids. As crazy as the switch from man-to-man to zone defense can be, there's not much we find as satisfying as catching a glimpse of all three girls sharing with one another, unprompted by us. Or seeing the entirely different routes they each take to make us laugh. We like the idea of our daughters learning, early on, how to work things out with one another, and being able, later on, to lean on one another. With more kids, the lessons usually start sooner. Staffers at the Wellesley Nursery School in the Hills say the most consistently polite kids to have gone through the school are the eight in Owen's family.

The thing about family size is it's all relative. My wife and I often hear, "Wow, you're brave!" from strangers who see us juggling life with three young children. But how can what we do possibly constitute juggling when there are people out there like Owen's parents, David and Kerry Morton, who have five girls and three boys between the ages of 12 years and 16 months? David, a 44-year-old equities trader, says he often talks to clients on Monday mornings who are exhausted from a weekend spent carting around their two kids from soccer to ballet to swimming. "We just consolidate things more," he says. They have several baby sitters they rely on but no full-time help. David grew up one of six. His wife, a trim 39-year-old stay-at-home mom, lost her only brother to illness when he was a child and her only sister to illness when she was an adult. "The psychology of regeneration has landed us with eight kids," he says. "The other part is we've just enjoyed having kids." Every night at dinner, he doles out beverages while his wife dishes out the food. Then they go into the next room and catch up while the kids manage their own dinner-table dynamic. He and his wife try to supply each child with one-on-one time, even if that's just giving one of them a ride somewhere. "Nobody gets lost in the shuffle," he says, "but they do have to wait their turn."

SO WHAT DO THESE LARGER FAMILY SIZES MEAN FOR THE KIDS? The parents? The planet? There's no shortage of researchers working to answer these questions.

More families of three mean more middle children. And they are at higher risk for being shortchanged, says Frank Sulloway, a visiting professor of psychology at the University of California, Berkeley, and author of a best-selling book on birth order called Born to Rebel. His research suggests that the risk to middle children is actually exacerbated by the parental desire to be scrupulous in dividing their attention equally among their children. That's because, unlike the oldest or the youngest, the middle child will never have a chance to be the only kid in the family home. The best way to compensate for this is for parents to get over their compunction to cut up the parental-attention pie evenly and instead give their middle children a slightly larger piece. In an e-mail from the Galapagos Islands, where he is doing field research, Sulloway wrote me: "If parents invest less in middle children, and there are more of them, that means more inequity."

In terms of academics, people complete an average of one-fifth of a grade less in education for every sibling they have. That could be partly attributed to a concept known as "dilution of parental resources," which holds that as parents have more children, their per-child dollop of attention and money is reduced. But in his fascinating research, Dalton Conley, a sociology professor at New York University, has found that the sex composition of the siblings can play a pivotal role in education. In a family with, say, four kids, if three are girls and one is a boy, the boy doesn't do as well academically. If you reverse that, with a girl and three boys, the girl doesn't do as well. He speculates that parents set the standards for achievement based on the gender they have the most experience with and may make more allowances for the gender minority.

What is the ideal spacing between children, to minimize rivalry and resource deprivation? Conley, author of The Pecking Order, says generally the wider the spacing, the better. But he admits his recommendations are based solely on measurable outcomes like education and not emotional considerations like happiness. Stephen Bank, a Connecticut psychologist and coauthor of The Sibling Bond, says that while having children close together will tend to produce more rivalry, more fighting, and less parental availability, it also allows for more peership, bonding, and laughter. Those ingredients can be helpful for keeping the sibling connections strong as the children get older. Across the average life, he says, "you will know your sibling longer than your children, longer than your parents, and longer than your spouse."

Then again, if the strains of raising a bigger brood contribute to the dissolution of the marriage, chances are that a lot of those experiences shared by siblings will be painful ones. The UC-Berkeley husband-and-wife researcher team of Philip Cowan and Carolyn Pape Cowan has been tracking the marital satisfaction of 100 northern California couples for about 20 years. Troublingly, the Cowans have found that satisfaction goes down steadily for most couples over the years, but the decline is faster and steeper for those with children. (However, those without children, if they divorce, divorce earlier.) Yet, about 20 percent showed no downward slope in satisfaction, helped by being in synch about their parenting decisions and feeling competent as parents. The Cowans' research should lay to rest any hope that introducing another baby into an already strained marriage will bring the couple closer together. It's the equivalent of pouring a gallon of lemon juice on an open wound.

Finally, there are ecological and economic considerations. Even if parents stay satisfied after having more kids, does the planet get a vote in the matter? In his 1998 book Maybe One, Vermont environmentalist Bill McKibben made an impassioned plea for American couples to stop after having one child. He presented all the damning evidence about the United States' lopsided resource consumption - for example, how the average American uses 70 times the energy of the average Bangladeshi - and its outsize role in accelerating the ravaging of the planet. The most effective path to meaningful change, he argued, would be to bring fewer incorrigible resource gluttons (i.e. Americans) into the world. In a refreshing money-where-your-mouth-is moment, McKibben's offspring-producing days end where his book does, with him in the doctor's office getting that tube in his scrotum snipped after having had his one child.

When I asked McKibben what he makes of the rise in family size, particularly among affluent families, he replied, "In a sense, there's something good happening here: That people have, after a period of fixation on career, rediscovered the wonderfulness of families. But as with so many things, we confuse 'more' and 'better.'"

Of course, given the requirements of keeping the American economy humming, a big drop in birthrates, as Western Europe has seen, would no doubt introduce new problems. We would see a greater strain on keeping the Social Security system afloat and probably a greater flow of immigrants across our borders, creating new American resource gluttons addicted to their air conditioners and automobiles.

IT'S 11:30 A.M., AND MOTHER-OF-SIX Kristine DeMatteo is easing her Suburban out of the Wellesley preschool parking lot. "What do you want to hear?" she asks her 4-year-old daughter wearing pink corduroys and a floppy pink bow in her hair. "Annie!" As DeMatteo slides the soundtrack into the CD player, she reminds her daughter that at the next stop, the fierce lobbying will begin for a soundtrack change to The Lord of the Rings.

DeMatteo had spent the morning running errands - today she chose Star Market, because it has cases of the Propel sports waters that her sons like - while her baby sitter brought her 2-year-old son to the park. She was now en route to the Dexter School, the private boys school in Brookline where her oldest four go, the youngest in kindergarten. She would be picking up him and two of his classmates (her older boys stay at school all day), dropping them off at a play date, dropping her daughter off at home with the baby sitter, and then trying to line up a playmate for her while DeMatteo went to a doctor's appointment.

In the early 1990s, DeMatteo could never have predicted this would be her life or how much fulfillment she would get from it. She grew up with just one sibling, and her husband, John, whom she met when they were both students at Duke University, came from a family with three kids. She envisioned having no more than one or two children of her own. While she was in law school, she became pregnant with twin girls. Midway through her pregnancy, she miscarried. "It was devastating," DeMatteo says. "It was then that I realized everything that made me happy didn't make me happy anymore." Travel, restaurants, flipping through fashion magazines, or spending lazy Sunday afternoons poring over the entire newspaper - it all seemed trivial. "I just wanted a baby."

After her first son was born, she had another miscarriage. Every pregnancy after that seemed like a gift, so she just didn't stop. The heartache changed her priorities, she says, "and made me a better mother." She found that she had no desire to return to law school or the fashion-magazine industry where she had once worked. She and her husband, who is in real estate, knew they were fortunate enough to be able to afford a big family on one salary. Now, even with five sons and a daughter, she is trying to get pregnant again.

Back in the Suburban, where she often spends up to half her day, she fumbles to put in her earpiece as her cellphone rings. It's John. With their cellphones and e-mail, they remain in contact all day long. Her daughter is singing along to "Tomorrow" as DeMatteo pulls up to the entrance of the Dexter School. Three young boys, each wearing maroon baseball caps emblazoned with the letter "D," are led to the idling Suburban. The boys jump in, climbing over the second row of bench-style seating, and begin pressing for the CD change. "Wait, wait!" DeMatteo says, holding out a bottle of Purell sanitizer. She insists on clean hands for anyone who passes through her car, knowing that the same cold or flu that might be an inconvenience in a small family can shut down her complicated operation like an assembly-line kill switch. The only time she's ever questioned having six kids was when a 24-hour stomach bug once sailed through her whole family. "There were no towels left in the house," she says. "It felt like the lowest rung of hell."

Thursday, May 25, 2006

Marriage in America

Waiting (longer) for Mr. and Mrs. Right

May 25, 2006

BY ANDREW HERRMANN Staff Reporter


When Jeren Wall was in her early 20s, as a student at Illinois State University, she was "just trying to get somewhere, figure out where I fit in life.''

Wall figured it out -- today, she's a police officer in Lockport. And, come May 19, 2007, she'll be a bride -- at age 26.

Trying on her wedding gown Wednesday at House of Brides Couture, 730 N. Franklin, Wall said she is better equipped now to be the wife of fellow officer Randall Szmergalski, 29, than she would have been when she was younger. "I'm more responsible,'' she said.

Jeren Wall, 26, tries on her wedding dress Wednesday at House of Brides Couture, 730 N. Franklin, with the help of senior sales consultant Nidia Gotangco. (JON SALL/SUN-TIMES)

MEDIAN AGE OF FIRST MARRIAGE

YEAR

MEN

WOMEN

2005

27.1

25.8

2000

26.8

25.1

1990

26.1

23.9

1980

24.7

22.0

1970

23.2

20.8

1960

22.8

20.3

1950

22.8

20.3

1940

24.3

21.5

1930

24.3

21.3

1920

24.6

21.2

1910

25.1

21.6

1900

25.9

21.9

1890

26.1

22.0

SOURCE: U.S. Census

Numbers have been creeping up

Wall is typical. The U.S. Census says in data to be released today that the median age of a first marriage for women is now 25.8. For men, it's 27.1. The numbers have been creeping upward for decades.

Through the 1950s and early 1960s, women typically married around 20 and men around 22.

Those Ozzie and Harriet years were an aberration, says Stephanie Coontz, author of Marriage, A History: How Love Conquered Marriage (Penguin). In the late 1800s, American men got married around 26 to brides who were about 22. The mid-20th century numbers were influenced by the GI Bill, which covered college costs, and a post-war prosperity that provided jobs, she said. Plus "there was a tremendous romanticization of marriage.''

In one poll from that era, about 80 percent of men thought it was "immoral or neurotic to be a single person,'' she said. "There were huge pressures on people to marry.''

The census numbers don't tell the whole story. Those with higher educations today get married even later than the median, said Coontz, who is the director of research at the Chicago-based Council on Contemporary Families. Coontz welcomes the trend.

"Changing gender roles means marriage takes more negotiation,'' she said. "There's a higher expectation of sharing the breadwinning and the nurturing'' duties -- which requires more maturity, she said.

Divorce rate higher for young

University of Chicago marriage researcher Linda J. Waite said younger couples tend to end up in divorce court at higher rates. Young people are "not fully formed,'' she said. "You change quite a bit between 20 and 30.''

Some studies have also suggested there may be a link between testosterone levels in men and divorce. With testosterone beginning to decline in men in their late 20s compared with their teens, it's possible that "lower testosterone makes better husbands'' because of fewer affairs and less spousal violence, Waite said.

Divorce rates have stabilized since the 1980s and may be around 40 percent now, Waite said. One reason for that might be the recognition of the huge costs of divorce -- financial and emotional -- but people getting married at a more mature age also might contribute, Waite said.

96% over 65 have been married

The census report, "Families and Living Arrangements: 2005," also found that 72 percent of men and women between 30 and 34 have been married. For Americans over age 65, 96 percent have been hitched.

But the number of Americans living alone increased from 17 percent in 1970 to 26 percent in 2005, the report said.

At the House of Brides, salon manager Debbie Chanel said younger customers tend to go with "Cinderella-style" gowns with long trains and elaborate beadwork. Older brides, even those marrying for the first time, go for a more "urbane and sophisticated" look.

"They're not so much about the big show,'' Chanel said.


immigration and farming

Growers fear worst in reform debate
Some farmers say crackdown will lead to shortage of labor
By Michael Martinez
Tribune national correspondent

May 25, 2006

OCEANSIDE, Calif. -- Tomato grower Luawanna Hallstrom understands how paths cross in the shadowy world of illegal immigrant and employer.

Her farm, which her family has owned for three generations, needed workers to harvest a crop in 2001, so it hired 300 farmhands. All their documents appeared in order, she said.

Then federal officials found three-fourths of the workers were illegal immigrants. The peak harvest ended up in ruins.

"People say, `You should get those employers that hire the undocumented!' Well, wait a minute. They have documents, but they're fraudulent," Hallstrom said. "We are supposed to take them at face value--otherwise you get into these discrimination issues."

As enforcement has intensified in recent years and would multiply further under proposals now before Congress, growers like Hallstrom say they worry whether their fields will have enough workers.

This reality has made growers major stakeholders in congressional efforts to reform immigration policies. The Senate is poised to vote Thursday on a comprehensive immigration bill, with passage considered likely. The measure would then need to be reconciled with a version passed by the House.

One part of the Senate bill would legalize up to 1.5 million undocumented farmhands over a five-year period. Of the nation's 1.6 million farmworkers, growers say 70 percent are undocumented; the United Farm Workers says it's 95 percent.

For the past year, farmers have been complaining about a potential labor shortage, highlighted last week by a U.S. Agriculture Department report showing 4 percent fewer workers on American farms than a year ago. The May issue of California Farmer magazine, sitting in Hallstrom's office, was dominated with headlines such as "Labor woes grow."

Some producers say that if they do not have an adequate workforce, they may be forced to move their farms to other countries.

Hallstrom remedied her 2001 crisis by hiring farmworkers through the federal temporary guest agricultural worker program. The program is shunned by most farmers because it's viewed as too costly and its bureaucratic delays threaten crops, she said. One reason Hallstrom uses the guest farmworker program is that her family does some of its farming on land leased from Camp Pendleton, where there are heightened security concerns.

But many farmers are less secure about the legality of their workforce.

"If you had electronic verification [of workers' documents] right now and you went out there and checked every worker, you might as well lock up every farmer out there. There's nowhere else to go" to find laborers, Hallstrom said.

So in an unusual alliance between growers and farmworker advocates, both sides persuaded Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.) to sponsor the proposed five-year pilot program for legalizing farm workers.

The Senate proposal, dubbed AgJobs, would also streamline the so-called H-2A guest worker program that Hallstrom currently uses and would freeze worker wages at 2003 levels for three years, during which a federal study would re-evaluate pay formulas, officials said.

"This would make sure [undocumented farmworkers] would come out of the shadows," said Scott Gerber, a spokesman for Feinstein.

Although the United Farm Workers has joined growers in endorsing the measure, the union disputes farmers' claims of looming labor shortages. Marc Grossman, spokesman for the union, said pay was stagnant at minimum-wage levels, hardly an indication of higher demand for workers. But last week's Agriculture Department study showed wages up 5 percent from a year ago, with field workers making an average $8.96 an hour last month.

"We don't agree with growers on anything except immigration reform," Grossman said.

Added Craig Regelbrugge, co-chairman of a growers group called the Agriculture Coalition for Immigration Reform, "We need to solve agriculture's problem of reliance on an illegal workforce."

Senate bill has tough foes

If passed, the Senate measure would stand in sharp contrast to a proposal passed by the House, which doesn't offer provisions for legalization. The Senate legislation would find strong opponents in conference committee, whose mission would be to reconcile the two bills.

"It's a bald-faced amnesty," said Will Adams, spokesman for Rep. Tom Tancredo (R-Colo.).

"Growers don't want to pay the prevailing wage because they want to undercut American workers and get around the law," Adams said. "The union, they don't want the workers to go home [to their native countries]. They want them to stay and be part of the union."

Jeff Lungren, spokesman for Rep. James Sensenbrenner (R-Wis.), a leading advocate for tougher border enforcement, said sanctions against employers with illegal immigrant workers are especially needed.

"It is always cheaper to hire an illegal worker because the employer doesn't always follow the wage laws and take out for Social Security," he said.

Farm begun by immigrant

Back on the farm, where laborers stooped to prepare the fields for planting vine-ripe tomatoes, Hallstrom can recite rich lore on how the family business was started by her immigrant grandfather, Harry Singh, from Punjab, India, and her Basque grandmother from New Mexico. In addition to the Camp Pendleton tract, the family venture farms in the scenic San Luis Rey Valley.

Hallstrom and other California growers such as Jon Vessey of Holtville, Calif., contend that many farmworkers have found more profitable work in construction and elsewhere, straining their labor pool.

Vessey told the Los Angeles Times that he posted openings for 300 temporary workers with the state employment office in Calexico late last year. "One person showed up and lasted half a day," he said.

Without immigration reforms, Hallstrom said, "Agriculture in this country would go away as we know it." Her family would consider moving its farm to Mexico, where many of her workers now originate, she said.

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mjmartinez@tribune.com

pop culture

America picks, and it's Hicks
Prince, Blige show amateurs how it's done on `Idol' finale

By Greg Kot
Tribune music critic
Published May 25, 2006

Taylor Hicks, the winner in the nationally televised finale Wednesday of "American Idol," has two distinguishing features: He's a 29-year-old Alabaman who has gone prematurely gray, and he tries awfully hard to over-sing like soul-crushing crooner Michael Bolton.

But even as Hicks huffed and puffed his way through his ponderous signature ballad, "Do I Make You Proud," while runner-up Katharine McPhee faded into an instant prime-time footnote, it was clear that he was not the night's biggest story.

Instead, show-stopping performances by Mary J. Blige and Prince signaled that Wednesday's decisive winner was the music industry, which has gone from treating "Idol" as a schmaltzy novelty into a meal ticket. The franchise has led to 33 million records sold by contestants since 2002. It draws an average of more than 25 million viewers a show, nearly double the size of the audience for the Grammy Awards, and commands $1.3 million per 30-second advertisement, a rate exceeded only by the Super Bowl and Academy Awards telecasts.

Those numbers have brought pop music royalty to the show's door. Stevie Wonder, Rod Stewart, Queen, Barry Manilow and Shakira have performed on "Idol" and seen their recent releases spike up the charts. Music executives say that with the exception of Oprah Winfrey's nationally syndicated talk show, no TV franchise now has a bigger impact on record sales.

The heavy hitters, past and present, were out in force to juice up Wednesday's otherwise anticlimactic season closer, and it was sometimes difficult to tell who needed the other more. There was a whiff of desperation when former alternative-rock heavyweights Live showed up to perform their new single "Mystery" with ousted contestant Chris Daughtry, who could have passed for the twin of the band's shaved-headed singer, Ed Kowalczyk. And Toni Braxton sounded out of breath as she and Hicks struggled through the Elvis Presley hit "In the Ghetto."

Al Jarreau and Meat Loaf dutifully performed duets with runners-up, in exchange for prime-time exposure. Class act Burt Bacharach smiled wanly at the piano while contestants butchered his harmonically complex pop tunes, before Dionne Warwick strolled out for "Walk on By" and took them all to school.

Even more telling was an appearance by Blige, who's very much at the peak of her career, yet couldn't resist the buzz she might gain from a worldwide audience that host Ryan Seacrest said numbered 200 million. The R&B diva turned her would-be duet with second runner-up Elliott Yamin on U2's "One" into a scorching solo turn. At least poor Elliott is in good company; while performing the same tune at the Grammys, the mighty Blige left Bono in her dust.

But it was Prince who got the best deal. He clearly wanted nothing to do with the show, or to share the stage with any contestant. He had the clout and the star power to command a moment all for himself; with two vocalists at his side, he delivered a sly version of "Lolita" and a sultry "Satisfied," and made the case for his latest album, "3121."

In comparison, the "Idol" contestants were once again exposed as pliant puppets, willing to do almost anything to win. Before the winner was even declared, Hicks and McPhee were shown in a car commercial, and later presented with keys to the same model: Call it the "Idol" answer to payola.

Hicks has a gutsy, credible voice that can belt a song if not quite inhabit it, and his hick-with-a-pinch-of-soul persona has potential to be molded. But it will all come down to the songs; he'll need to do better than "Do I Make You Proud" to lift a debut album, let alone sustain a career.

So what does it say about this cultural juggernaut when the two most memorable characters, the two most indelible personalities culled from five seasons of the most popular television show in America, are two guys who didn't come even close to winning: William "She Bangs" Hung and Crazy Dave Hoover?

The aggressively talent-free Hung overshadowed the already all-but-forgotten 2004 winner Fantasia Barrino, and the straitjacket-worthy Hoover packed more entertainment punch than Hicks on Wednesday. At least these guys seemed capable of laughing at themselves, and the show.

It's clear the "Idol" brain trust has similar doubts about the ability of contestants to carry this franchise for another five years. As Wednesday's two-hour marathon confirmed, "Idol" is expanding its reach. It's no longer just a talent show for unknowns. It's becoming a springboard for the music industry to rejuvenate fading stars.

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gregkot@aol.com

- - -

The Personals page was compiled by Emily Rosenbaum from Tribune news services and staff reports.



Copyright © 2006, Chicago Tribune

Monday, May 22, 2006

domestic cars

Can you see USA in car?

Supporting domestic companies and jobs with buying choices not as clear-cut as it was

By Jim Mateja and Rick Popely
Tribune staff reporters
Published May 21, 2006

Buying a domestic car instead of an import used to be as simple as choosing vanilla over chocolate.

"Domestic" meant going to a Ford or Chevrolet dealer, while "import" buyers headed to Toyota or Honda showrooms.

But in the age of globalization, when parts and vehicles can come from anywhere, a Toyota Camry can be more American than a Ford Mustang, and a Honda Pilot can have more U.S.-made components than a Chevrolet Suburban.

Nevertheless, a group called the Level Field Institute is trying to revive "Buy American" sentiment through an advertising campaign that claims buying Japanese-brand vehicles built in the U.S. will cost American jobs because domestic automakers will further retrench.

"Made in America matters," said Jim Doyle, president of the institute, a group of retired workers from domestic manufacturers funded by Ford Motor Co. "If Americans think all cars are the same, we are more likely to lose more jobs in the U.S."

Foreign-based manufacturers like Toyota can identify models like the Camry as "domestic" cars because they meet the government yardstick of having 75 percent or more of their parts made in the U.S. or Canada.

But the Automobile Trade Policy Council, a lobbying group funded by GM, Ford and DaimlerChrysler AG, says the domestic content of all Toyota vehicles sold in the U.S.--including imported models--is 48 percent. Honda's is 59 percent and Nissan's 45 percent.

For GM and Ford, the domestic parts content is 73 percent, and for DaimlerChrysler, it's 72.

Dennis Cuneo, executive vice president of Toyota North America, says that argument ignores the fact that Japanese manufacturers built more than 3.7 million vehicles in North America last year.

"Ten years ago the debate was imports versus domestics, and now the debate is the domestic content of the vehicles," Cuneo counters. "Their idea of a level playing field is for us to make fewer cars."

While manufacturers and interest groups exchange verbal volleys over domestic content, Art Spinella, president of automotive research firm CNW Marketing Research, says consumers aren't paying attention.

Price stickers on new vehicles have been required to show the domestic parts content since 1994, and Spinella says "only about 2 percent of consumers even look at it."

To most car shoppers, a Toyota Camry built in Georgetown, Ky., is as American as a Ford Five Hundred built in Chicago. Indeed, using the government's standards, both have 80 percent domestic parts.

Sid Dechter of Hanover Park believed he was buying American when he bought his daughter, Kristine, a 2006 Toyota Camry as a graduation present.

"It's made in Kentucky so while it may have some Japanese parts, it's made in America and providing jobs in America," he said.

But on the jobs issue, Doyle still sees a major distinction between a Ford and a Toyota. Even after cutting thousands of jobs this year, Ford will employ 110,000 in the U.S., while Toyota will have around 32,000.

"So would you rather buy a Toyota built in Kentucky by a company with 32,000 jobs or a Mustang with parts made in another country, but from a company that supports 110,000 jobs in the U.S.?" Doyle asked.

Toyota's Cuneo says such thinking is misguided. He points out that Toyota, Honda and Nissan are net creators of jobs as they add manufacturing capacity in the U.S.

Honda just last week announced plans to add an assembly plant and some 1,500 jobs in the Midwest. The Big Three, on the other hand, are reducing capacity and jobs in the U.S.

"The reason for fewer workers is that we are more productive, which is good for the U.S. economy," Cuneo said. "Having people in a jobs bank getting paid for not producing isn't good for the health of any enterprise."

The "jobs bank" is a holding tank for United Auto Workers union members on long-term layoff who receive full pay and benefits for not working or for doing volunteer work.

"It drives the UAW crazy, but the fact they [foreign-owned assembly plants] can build more vehicles with fewer workers means they are much more efficient and the domestics more inefficient," said Dave Healy, an analyst with Burnham Securities.

"They say the more transplants built here, the more UAW workers lose jobs. Amen. According to GM's 10K report, their cost per hour in wages and benefits for UAW workers last year was $83 an hour. They can't live with that."

Healy also questioned the name of the group pursuing the jobs angle.

"Level field, that's a term that means some domestic company is trying to protect the field from fair competition," Healy said, alluding to Ford's support.

One aspect of the debate that is seldom analyzed is the significance of where each car company is based, and therefore where the profits go. Some would argue that the biggest difference between cars from Honda and GM is that the profit on an Accord--even one manufactured in Ohio--still goes back to Japan.

"I'm a union worker, so I stick with American vehicles," said Tom Wolfgram, an operating engineer from Lake Villa, who recently bought a Chevrolet TrailBlazer. "I want the money to stay here and be spent here so it creates even more jobs."

Cuneo, however, says the bulk of Toyota's profit stays in the U.S. to invest in new plant and equipment. He would not provide specifics.

Some analysts say as much as 60 percent of Toyota's overall operating profit and 70 percent of Honda's are derived from North America sales. Healy agrees on Honda's but believes for Toyota it's less than half.

Healy estimates that $30 billion of Toyota's $68 billion in North American sales last year were from U.S.- and Canadian-made vehicles. Moreover, as a "rough estimate," he says Toyota earned a profit of $2.4 billion in North America last year and spent the same amount on new plants, products and other investments.

"When they say they're an American company, they aren't lying," he said.

Additionally, the logic of buying a Ford or GM product because its profits stay in the U.S. isn't necessarily accurate. Because both are global companies, at any one point profits made from domestic sales could be invested in plants abroad.

As for Chrysler Group, it's based in Auburn Hills, Mich., but its DaimlerChrysler parent is based in Stuttgart, Germany, further complicating labels.

"The domestic content issue is grasping at straws. This isn't the Big Three any more. It's the Big Six," Cuneo said, referring to the growth of Toyota, Honda and Nissan in the U.S.

"All are global companies that source (parts and vehicles) in Asia, Europe, Canada or Mexico and build in the U.S."

And regardless, Spinella says, where a product is made and by whom matters little to most shoppers.

"Country of origin doesn't register with consumers," he said. "It's not that they are pro-Japanese as much as they are pro-bargain and value."

Domestic automakers pushed the legislation requiring domestic content labels as a way to inform consumers, but sometimes the information muddies the water about whether a vehicle is a domestic.

A major imported component such as an engine, transmission or drive axle can significantly lower a vehicle's domestic parts content.

For example, a seemingly red, white and blue vehicle such as the Ford Mustang has 65 percent domestic content, and the Chevy Suburban 67 percent. The Mitsubishi Eclipse is built in Normal, Ill., but the engine is made in Japan and it has 47 percent domestic parts.

That leaves some buyers, like Joe Stetina of Riverside, to make their own rules. Stetina traded a 1997 Chrysler Concorde (made in Canada) for a Toyota Matrix (also built in Canada).

His reasoning: He didn't want to buy an import.

- - -

Answers

Ford Escape Hybrid

Not domestic, 40 percent of content from North America

Chrysler 300

Not domestic, 72 percent

Toyota Camry

Domestic, 75 percent

Honda Ridgeline

Domestic, 75 percent

Dodge Caliber

Not domestic, 70 percent

Ford Mustang

Not domestic, 65 percent

Chevy Tahoe

Not domestic, 67 percent

Mitsubishi Eclipse

Not domestic, 47 percent

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jmateja@tribune.com

rpopely@tribune.com

Sunday, May 21, 2006

Mexico, Marriage and Flok Culture

`I do,' without the sexism
In Mexico, no longer must brides pledge not to `exasperate' men. A macho civil marriage tradition has had a makeover.
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By Hugh Dellios, Tribune foreign correspondent. Olivia Sanchez contributed to this report

May 21, 2006

MEXICO CITY -- Unlike many Mexican brides over the last 147 years, Veronica Mendez did not vow that she would not "exasperate" her new husband, nor promise to treat him "with the reverence due to the person who supports and defends us."

Nor was her husband, Gustavo Garcia, told to treat her "with the magnanimity and generous benevolence that the strong must have for the weak, essentially when this weak creature gives herself unto him."

Mexico's women scored a small victory in their long battle against machismo this spring when Congress told judges to stop reading those customary words during civil marriage ceremonies after a decade-long fight by activists who found them offensive, obsolete and a reinforcement of underlying sexist attitudes.

The so-called Epistle of Melchor Ocampo, written in 1859, once was the law but had been shelved by many judges as a nod to the changing times. Yet some judges still read it, perhaps thinking erroneously that it remained in the civil marriage code, and some women still request that it be read.

They contend that the epistle anchors the ceremony in poetic verse and traditional values. But women's rights activists feared that some brides were being forced to suffer or fume through it against their will.

"If the judge had read that, I would have jumped, and my husband would have supported me," said Mendez, 28, an architect emerging from her wedding ceremony in Mexico City. "We women are alive, we work, and we have respect for ourselves."

But Alejandra Curiel, 36, was upset that the judge didn't read the epistle in her wedding ceremony last week in Coyoacan, one of the capital's more progressive neighborhoods.

"I don't feel married," the publicist said after her 10-minute ceremony. "The epistle is what gives it flavor and sentiment. For me, it's like a poem of obligations. What a shame."

Ocampo, a 19th Century liberal reformer, likely would be shocked at the debate about the essay in which he penned his thoughts about marriage, probably with no idea that they would be recited by judges for the next century and a half.

A progressive thinker, Ocampo worked with Mexican nationalist hero Benito Juarez to establish equality before the law and separate the church and state in the 1850s. He was executed by a firing squad in 1861 after being captured by enemies.

His epistle was written into the Juarez-era civil marriage code. There have been many changes to the code since, but tradition kept the epistle alive. In the 1930s, the mayor of Mexico City ordered judges to read it in ceremonies.

Despite the controversial language, the 537-word epistle instructs newlyweds to treat each other nicely, and to prepare themselves to be good parents.

"Those married must be and shall be sacred one to the other," it reads. "Never shall there be insults, because insults between married couples dishonor those who say them. . . . Much less shall there be mistreatment because the abuse of strength is despicable and cowardly."

Today, the epistle is not read in every ceremony. Some women are startled to hear it. Some break out giggling and are scolded by the judge. Others make sure beforehand that the judge doesn't go there.

"Lots of women were already refusing to have it read, because it perpetuates stereotypes of the man as a strong provider, the only authority within the home, and the woman as weak," said Teresa Ulloa, an activist who lobbied against the epistle in Congress. "This is a patriarchal society where misogyny exists, where extreme levels of violence [against women] are supported and permitted."

After 10 years of lobbying, the Congress passed a resolution in March exhorting judges to "eliminate" the epistle from the service. But the measure did not pass unanimously, and one congressman criticized it.

"This goes against the traditions of the Mexican people," said Pedro Avila, a member of the Institutional Revolutionary Party. "This is an affront to [Benito Juarez], and for that reason, I am against this."

Ulloa and other activists now are trying to win support for a new, more gender-balanced wedding epistle.

Asked by Reforma newspaper for her view, Ana Rosa Payan, director of the federal Integral Family Development agency, suggested that new wording include: "I will not hit my wife. . . . I will not hit my husband. . . . I will not allow myself to be hit."

Gustavo Lugo Monroy, the civil judge in Coyoacan for 16 years, said he has always refused to read Ocampo's words. But couples sometimes ask.

"I always say, `I'm sorry. I can't do it,'" Lugo said. Unbeknownst to the judge, however, photographers still hand out pamphlets with the epistle to newlyweds outside the chapel.

"We Mexicans are very traditional," said Patricia Velazquez, 45, a psychologist who was married by Lugo on Thursday while wearing a bright yellow cowboy dress and an enormous sombrero. "I am in favor of equality."

- - -

From the epistle

Excerpts from the Epistle of Melchor Ocampo, July 1859

"This [marriage] is the only moral means to found a family and conserve the species and to surmount the impossibility of the individual who cannot by him or herself reach perfection in the human race. This does not exist in each single person but in the conjugal duality. Those married must be and shall be sacred one to the other, much more than each one is to him or herself.

"The man, whose main sexual attributes are courage and strength, must give and shall always give the woman protection, food and direction, treating her like the most delicate, sensitive and fine part of himself, and with the magnanimity and generous benevolence that the strong must have for the weak, essentially when this weak creature gives herself unto him, and when through Society she has trusted him.

"The woman, whose main attributes are self-denial, beauty, compassion, shrewdness and tenderness, must give and shall always give her husband obedience, affability, attention, comfort and advice, treating him with the reverence due to the person who supports and defends us, and with the gentleness of one who does not want to exasperate the abrupt, irritable and hard part of oneself. . . .

"Both must be prudent with and try to lessen their faults. Never shall there be insults, because insults between married couples dishonor those who say them, and prove a lack of good judgment or common sense in using them. Much less shall there be mistreatment because the abuse of strength is despicable and cowardly.

"Both of the spouses must prepare themselves for the solemnity of parenthood by studying and the friendly and mutual correction of their defects, so that when they become parents their children will find in them an example to follow and an honorable conduct to serve as a model."

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hdellios@tribune.com

Friday, May 19, 2006

Russia and Children

A second baby? Russia's mothers aren't persuaded.

By Fred Weir, Correspondent of The Christian Science MonitorFri May 19, 4:00 AM ET

Cash for babies is the Kremlin's offer to women in its latest bid to reverse a population decline that threatens to leave large swaths of Russia virtually uninhabited within 50 years.

President Vladimir Putin last week defined the crisis as Russia's most acute problem, and promised to spend some of the country's oil profits on efforts to relieve it. He ordered parliament to more than double monthly child support payments to 1,500 rubles (about $55) and added that women who choose to have a second baby will receive 250,000 rubles ($9,200), a staggering sum in a country where average monthly incomes hover close to $330.

On Monday, young women at the Family Planning Youth Center, a nongovernmental clinic for northwest Moscow, said they liked the sound of more money, but suggested that Mr. Putin has no concept of their lives. "A child is not an easy project, and in this world a woman is expected to get an education, find a job, and make a career," says Svetlana Romanicheva, a student who says she won't consider babies for at least five years. She hopes to have one child, but says a second would depend on her life "working out very well." As for Putin's offer, she says "it won't change anything."

Russia's birthrate, falling for decades, has plunged in post-Soviet times, to just 1.17 in 2004 from 2.08 babies per woman in 1990 - far below the 2.4 children required to maintain the population - according to the Federal State Statistics Service. The average rate from 2000-05 in the US, by contrast, was 2.0, according to UN figures, while Mexico, for example, weighed in at 2.4 and Italy at 1.3.

Russia also has one of the world's highest abortion rates. In addition, the death rate has climbed to levels seldom seen in peacetime, to 16.3 in 2002 from 10.7 per thousand people in 1988. The result is a population that is shrinking by an average of 700,000 people each year - and aging. A UN report last year predicted that Russia's population, around 145 million in 2002, could fall by one-third by 2050.

Experts foretell the grim prospect of a Russia that can no longer man its factories, field a decent hockey team, or defend its borders. "I think Putin's main concern is a lack of future soldiers," says Yury Levada, head of the Levada Center, an independent polling agency. "That's a narrow perspective, but one that resonates politically."

Some women say they resent the suggestion, made explicit by many nationalist politicians, that their lack of enthusiasm for bearing children is to blame. "This problem began long ago, and even if we were to have more babies it wouldn't mean the situation ... would improve," says Irina Isayeva, a medical student who volunteers at the family center. "A woman has to ... ensure that her conditions are adequate to raise children. Women may want fewer children, but be able to give them better chances in life."

Young women also say that it's hard to find a good partner. Official statistics show that almost 8 of every 10 marriages end in divorce, and one-third of children are born out of wedlock. "The interests of men and women seem different, so women just depend less on men," says Olga Istomina, a student. "A lot of people live together. Partners change all the time."

Others say Putin is moving in the right direction. "Russian women typically have one child ... but many of my patients would like a second if they felt they had enough support," says Galina Dedova, a gynecologist at Happy Families, a private Moscow clinic. "Most of my patients count their rubles.... If they could reliably expect more money, some might [consider] more children."

Putin also doubled subsidies for foster families, to 4,500 rubles ($166) per month, a move widely welcomed by child- care experts. In recent years, Russia has cracked down on foreign adoptions, leaving 700,000 institutionalized children with few options. "I believe the situation will begin to improve after Putin's measures, and more people will see the importance of adopting," says Galina Krasnitskaya, an adviser to Russia's State Duma.

Critics point to the high male death rate, a problem Putin barely addressed. Men's ranks have been decimated by alcoholism, war in Chechnya, AIDS, and accidents. "Male life expectancy is less than 60 years," says Yevgeny Gontmakher, research head of the Center of Social Studies, an independent Moscow think tank. "Trying to stimulate the birthrate is pure populism; it's naive to think a demographic revolution can happen."

Low birthrates and high mortality could deliver an economic wallop that could dash Putin's hopes of restoring Russia as a great power. "If current trends persist, there will be four dependents for every Russian worker by 2025," Regional Development Minister Vladimir Yakovlev warned last month. "Russia needs a million new workers every year. If we don't get them, we can forget about economic growth."

Some say that Russia must open its doors to immigrants, as many Western countries have done. But Putin insists that only ethnic Russians - about 25 million remain stranded in former Soviet countries - will be eligible for easy entry. Polls show large majorities remain hostile to the idea of mass immigration of non-Slavs.

Nadezhda Kalmikova, director of the Family Planning Center, says she believes that money will solve little. "[F]amilies need to be sure there will be all the things children need," she says. "That goes beyond material requirements.... [W]e need children who will grow up well and become good citizens. You can't buy that."

Iran and Folk Culture

Canada, Australia concerned by reports Iran to tag non-Muslims

49 minutes ago

OTTAWA (AFP) - The Canadian and Australian prime ministers expressed concern at unconfirmed reports that said
Iran may force non-Muslims to wear colored badges in public so they can be identified.
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The National Post newspaper reported Friday, citing human rights groups, that Iran's parliament passed a law this week that sets a public dress code and requires non-Muslims to wear a special insignia.

Jews, Christians and Zoroastrians would be forced to wear a yellow, red or blue strip of cloth, respectively, on the front of their clothes, according to the newspaper.

"Anything of that kind would be totally repugnant to civilized countries, if it's the case, and something that would just further indicate to me the nature of this regime," Australia's Prime Minister John Howard told reporters during an official visit to Ottawa.

"It would be appalling," he added.

Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper said he had "only seen reports" about the law but commented he would not be surprised by them.

"Unfortunately, we have seen enough already from the Iranian regime to suggest that it is very capable of this kind of action," he said.

"It think it boggles the mind that any regime on the face of the earth would want to do anything that could remind people of Nazi Germany," he added.

"The fact that such a measure could even be contemplated, I think, is absolutely abhorent."

Earlier, Harper's parliamentary secretary, Jason Kenney, told the House of Commons that Canadian officials were trying to verify the claims and said Ottawa is "deeply concerned".

"Should these reports turn out to be true, this government will condemn in the strongest terms possible this kind of revisiting of the darkest period of the last century. It is something that the entire civilized world should condemn," Kenney said.

Wednesday, May 17, 2006

Bike

Wheel changes

High gas prices fueling more bike commuters

By Alexia Elejalde-Ruiz
RedEye
Published May 17, 2006

Sean Martin and his fiance used to drive to work in their Jeep Grand Cherokee, enjoying a hassle-free commute from their Lincoln Park home to their jobs downtown. But when the spike in gas prices pushed the cost of filling up the Jeep's tank to $75, they decided to park the car and take public transportation.

"We're two people trying to save for a wedding," Martin, 26, said. "We can't afford to spend all our money on gas." High gas prices have some Chicagoans putting the brakes on their gas-happy vehicles and opting for greener transport.

About a month and a half ago, Martin bought unlimited-ride cards on the CTA, and he and his fiance now fly rather than drive to visit her parents in Nashville because gas exceeds airfare, he said.

The CTA has seen higher ridership over the past few weeks, spokeswoman Ibis Antongiorgi said, though that's largely due to construction on the Dan Ryan Expressway.

While higher gas prices also might have played a role, it's difficult to quantify, she said. The CTA had 43.3 million rides this March compared to 38.7 million last year and 38.5 million in 2004.

The price at the pump has driven people to turn to other means of transportation including motor scooters, bicycles and carsharing, those in the business say.

Philip McCaleb, CEO of Chicago-based Scooter Works USA, said throngs of people came to his stores in September, after Hurricane Katrina devastated the Gulf Coast and caused gas prices to surge. "It was like 'We're mad as hell, and we're not going to take it anymore,' " McCaleb said.

Sales of his scooters, which can get up to 125 miles per gallon, have doubled since 2002, he said.

At Johnny Sprocket's Bicycles in Lakeview, manager Manuel Tenorio said he gets customers at least every other day who tell him they've given up their cars because they're so expensive--largely because of gas costs--and want to pedal to work instead.

The number of customers who come in with that story has tripled this spring compared to last year, Tenorio said. The trend began last summer, he said, and continued through the winter.

Another trend is to share cars so you only drive when you really need to. Ned Furlan, 21, sold his Honda Civic three months ago and bought a membership to I-Go, a local car-sharing program that gives members access to 64 low-emission cars to use when they need them for things such as grocery shopping.

Furlan, a Loyola University student who lives in Buena Park and works on the South Side, was tired of paying $30 a week to fill up his tank, but he also was worried that public transportation would be inefficient. He said I-Go, which charges members $75 to join and an additional $6 per hour plus 50 cents a mile (for the standard plan), has given him an ideal alternative.

"It's much more efficient than owning a car in the city," Furlan said. It seems that others agree.

I-Go had a record 183 people join last month, compared to an average of 100 new members monthly, I-Go CEO Sharon Feigon said. She expects 200 new members in May . Because of the increased demand, I-Go, which now has 2,400 members, plans to boost its fleet to 100 cars this year, Feigon said.

Converting to I-Go has taught Michael Greenberg, 44, that even his family of five can get by without a car.

Greenberg, who lives in Lincoln Park, sold his 1995 Saturn in March, and since then has been walking, taking the CTA and hopping into the scattered I-Go cars to do errands he used to use his car for.

While city congestion and the expense of owning a car--with city stickers, parking and tickets--were the main incentives to go car-free, "the higher price of oil was the final kick in the nuts," Greenberg said. Many motorists, however, are absorbing the sticker shock.

Kim Hagarty, 23, bought a Ford Escape before moving to Chicago so she'd be prepared for the snow, and higher gas prices haven't altered her use--or love--of her compact SUV.

She drives it everywhere, including from her home in North Center to the Loop to get in line for Conan O'Brien's at the Chicago Theatre show last week.

"With everything that's going on, it's kind of shameful to say, 'I've got an SUV,' " Hagarty said. "I know I should take public transportation, but I love my car, and I love to drive."

Tuesday, May 16, 2006

Saudi Women

Saudis Nix Pictures of Women in Newspapers


RIYADH, Saudi Arabia - King Abdullah has told Saudi editors to stop publishing pictures of women as they could make young men go astray, newspapers reported Tuesday.
The king's directive, made in a meeting with local editors, caused surprise as the monarch has been regarded a quiet reformer since he took office in the ultra-conservative country last August.
In recent months, newspapers have published pictures of women — always wearing the traditional Muslim headscarf — to illustrate stories with increasing regularity. Usually the stories have had to do with women's issues. The papers have also started publishing a range of views on causes that are not generally accepted in Saudi Arabia — such as women having the right to drive and vote.
The king told editors on Monday night that publishing a woman's picture for the world to see was inappropriate.
"One must think, do they want their daughter, their sister, or their wife to appear in this way. Of course, no one would accept this," the newspaper Okaz quoted Abdullah as saying.
"The youth are driven by emotion ... and sometimes they can be lead astray. So, please, try to cut down on this," he said.
Although the king has broached topics — such as women eventually acquiring driving licenses — that were previously seen as nonstarters, his instruction to editors indicates that Islamic conservatives remain a powerful force in the kingdom and brake on reform.
The country adheres to a strict interpretation of Islamic law. Women are not allowed to vote and stand in municipal elections — the only type of election permitted in the kingdom.
The king also called on editors to stop printing stories that portray the country in a negative light.
"Don't write anything that can be harmful to the country. Some reporters, they want to stand out and they end up going too far and this should not be allowed to happen," Abdullah said according to Okaz.
The king added that newspapers should ignore the foreign press, especially when what it publishes is "against Islam or against Arabs."
All media in Saudi Arabia are either state owned or state guided.

EC

I will give a couple of points of EC to anyone who notices this and tells me SECRETLY by tomorrow May 17th

Saturday, May 13, 2006

Problems with France

Higher Learning in France Clings to Its Old Ways
By ELAINE SCIOLINO

NANTERRE, France — There are 32,000 students at the Nanterre campus of the University of Paris, but no student center, no bookstore, no student-run newspaper, no freshman orientation, no corporate recruiting system.

The 480,000-volume central library is open only 10 hours a day, closed on Sundays and holidays. Only 30 of the library's 100 computers have Internet access.

The campus cafeterias close after lunch. Professors often do not have office hours; many have no office. Some classrooms are so overcrowded that at exam time many students have to find seats elsewhere. By late afternoon every day the campus is largely empty.

Sandwiched between a prison and an unemployment office just outside Paris, the university here is neither the best nor the worst place to study in this fairly wealthy country. Rather, it reflects the crisis of France's archaic state-owned university system: overcrowded, underfinanced, disorganized and resistant to the changes demanded by the outside world.

"In the United States, your university system is one of the drivers of American prosperity," said Claude Allègre, a former education minister who tried without success to reform French universities. "But here, we simply don't invest enough. Universities are poor. They're not a priority either for the state or the private sector. If we don't reverse this trend, we will kill the new generation."

It was student discontent on campuses across France that fired up the recent protests against a law that would have made it easier for employers to dismiss young workers. College students were driven by fear that their education was worth little and that after graduation they would not find jobs.

The protests closed or disrupted a majority of France's universities for weeks, labor unions declared solidarity and eventually the government was forced to withdraw the law.

"Universities are factories," said Christine le Forestier, 24, a 2005 graduate of Nanterre with a master's degree who has not found a stable job. "They are machines to turn out thousands and thousands of students who have learned all about theory but nothing practical. A diploma is worth nothing in the real world."

The problems stem in part from the student revolts of May 1968, which grew out of an unexceptional event at Nanterre the year before. One March evening, male students protesting the sexual segregation of the dormitories occupied the women's dormitory and were evicted by the police.

A year later, Nanterre students protesting the war in Vietnam occupied the administration building, the first such action by students at a French university. The student revolt spread, turning into a mass movement aimed at transforming the authoritarian, elitist French system of governance. Ultimately 10 million workers left their jobs in a strike that came close to forcing de Gaulle from power.

One result was that the country's university system guaranteed a free — or almost free — college education to every high school graduate who passed the baccalauréat exam. University enrollment soared. The value of a bachelor's degree plummeted.

But the state failed to invest much in buildings, facilities and professors' salaries to make the system work. Today the French government allocates about $8,500 a year to each university student, about 40 percent less than what it invests in each high school student.

Most students are required to attend the universities closest to their high schools. Although certain universities excel in specific fields of study, the course offerings in, say, history or literature are generally the same throughout the country.

Compounding the problem, France is caught between its official promotion of the republican notion of equality and its commitment to the nurturing of an elite cadre of future leaders and entrepreneurs.

Only 4 percent of French students make it into the most competitive French universities — the public "grandes écoles." But the grandes écoles, along with a swath of semiprivate preparatory schools, absorb 30 percent of the public budget.

They are well-organized, well-equipped, overwhelmingly white and upper middle class, and infused with the certainty that their graduates will take the best jobs in government and the private sector. Students are even paid to attend.

The practice in the United States of private endowments providing a large chunk of college budgets is seen as strange in France. Tuition is about $250 a year, hardly a sufficient source of income for colleges.

But asking the French to pay more of their way in college seems out of the question. When the government proposed a reform in 2003 to streamline curriculums and budgets by allowing each university more flexibility and independence, students and professors rebelled.

They saw the initiative as a step toward privatization of higher education that they feared would lead to higher fees and threaten the universal right of high school graduates to a college education. The government backed down.

At Nanterre, Alexandre Frydlender, 19, a second-year student in law and history, complained about the lack of courses in English for students of international law. But asked whether he would be willing to pay a higher fee for better services, he replied: "The university is a public service. The state must pay."

A poster that hangs throughout the campus halls echoed that sentiment: "To study is a right, not a privilege."

Professors lack the standing and the salaries of the private sector. A starting instructor can earn less than $20,000 a year; the most senior professor in France earns about $75,000 a year. Research among the faculty is not a priority.

Because students generally are required to attend the university closest to home, most do not live on campus.

At Nanterre, for example, there are only 1,050 dormitory rooms and a long waiting list. The amenities are few. Twenty-two students share three toilets, three showers and a small kitchen furnished with only a sink and a few electric burners.

"There's no place where students can hang out, no place to play cards or to watch a movie," said Jean Giraud, 20, a second-year law student who lives in one of the dorms. "People come for class and then go home."

While students are ready to protest against something they dislike, there is little sense of belonging or pride in one's surroundings. During the recent protests over the contested labor law, that attitude of alienation contributed to the destruction of property, even computers and books, at some universities.

The protests also were the latest warning to the French government and private corporations that the university system needs fixing. Officials, entrepreneurs, professors and students alike agree that too many students are stuck in majors like sociology or psychology that make it difficult to move into a different career in a stratified society like France, given the country's troubled economy.

The fear of joblessness has led many young people in different directions. Students who have the money are increasingly turning to foreign universities or private specialized schools in France, especially for graduate school. And more young people are seeking a security-for-life job with a government agency.

In a speech at the Sorbonne in late April after the labor law was rescinded, Prime Minister Dominique de Villepin pledged "a new pact between the university and the French people."

Mr. de Villepin, a graduate of the École Nationale d'Administration, the grandest of the grandes écoles, promised more money and more flexibility, saying that as in the United States, a student with a master's degree in philosophy should be able to become a financial analyst.

When a student asked him to explain how he proposed to do that, Mr. de Villepin had no concrete answer. Instead he talked about the "happiness of the dog that leaves its kennel."

But flexibility is not at all the tradition in France, where students are put on fixed career tracks at an early age.

"We are caught in a world of limits where there's no such thing as the self-made man," said Claire de la Vigne, a graduate of Nanterre who is now doing graduate work at the much more prestigious Institut d'Études Politiques de Paris. "We are never taught the idea of the American dream, where everything is possible. Our guide is fear."

Friday, May 12, 2006

Nigeria Oil

200 Feared Dead in Nigeria Oil Blast

11 minutes ago

LAGOS, Nigeria - A ruptured pipeline exploded Friday in southwestern Nigeria as villagers rushed to collect oil gushing from it and the Red Cross said a number of people perished in the flames. A local TV station said up to 200 people were feared dead.
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Firefighters were on the scene of the explosion at Ilado, a village about 25 miles east of Nigeria's main city of Lagos, and Red Cross workers were helping survivors.

"There was a big fire and quite a number of people died," Red Cross spokeswoman Okon Umoh said. Many of the bodies had fallen into the water of the coastal village. She gave no further details.

The blast came as villagers flocked to the ruptured conduit to scoop up fuel that was gushing out. Nigeria's Channels Television reported that up to 200 may have perished in the explosion, but that couldn't immediately be confirmed.

Nigeria is Africa's leading oil producer, the world's seventh-biggest exporter and fifth-biggest source of U.S. oil imports.

Despite the oil riches, most of Nigeria's population remains impoverished and people often tap into pipelines crossing their lands, seeking fuel for cooking or resale on the black market. The highly volatile petroleum can ignite, incinerating those collecting it.

In September 2004, an oil pipeline exploded near Lagos as thieves tried to siphon oil from it, with up to 50 people perishing in the flames. A 1998 pipeline blast killed more than 1,000 in southern Nigeria.

Most of Nigeria's oil is pumped in the southern Niger Delta region, far from the village. But pipes carry the crude to refineries across the vast nation.

Thursday, May 11, 2006

Hunters and Gatherers to Modern World

Leaving the Wild, and Rather Liking the Change
By JUAN FORERO

SAN JOSÉ DEL GUAVIARE, Colombia — Since time immemorial the Nukak-Makú have lived a Stone Age life, roaming across hundreds of miles of isolated and pristine Amazon jungle, killing monkeys with blowguns and scouring the forest floor for berries.

But recently, and rather mysteriously, a group of nearly 80 wandered out of the wilderness, half-naked, a gaggle of children and pet monkeys in tow, and declared themselves ready to join the modern world.

"We do not want to go back," explained one man, who uses the sole name Ma-be, and who arrived with the others at this outpost in southern Colombia in March. "We want to stay near town. We can plant our own food. In the meantime the town can help us."

While it is not known for sure why they left the jungle, what is abundantly clear is that the Nukak's experience as nomads and hunter-gatherers has left them wholly unprepared for the world they have just entered.

The Nukak have no concept of money, of property, of the role of government, or even of the existence of a country called Colombia. They ask whether the planes that fly overhead are moving on some sort of invisible road.

They have no government identification cards, making them nonentities to Colombia's bureaucracy.

"The Nukak don't know what they've gotten themselves into," said Dr. Javier Maldonado, 27, a physician who has been working with them.

When asked if the Nukak were concerned about the future, Belisario, the only one in the group who had been to the outside world before and spoke Spanish, seemed perplexed, less by the word than by the concept. "The future," he said, "what's that?" He serves as a interpreter for the others. One of perhaps a few dozen indigenous communities living in relative seclusion in the Amazon basin, the Nukak have, in dribs and drabs, gone beyond the borders of their jungle world only since 1988, just as the world has intermittently found them.

In 2003 dozens of Nukak left the wilderness and arrived at San José del Guaviare, saying Colombia's relentless civil war had encroached on their reserve and forced them to seek safety. Perhaps as many as 250 now live in settlements around the town, about as many as anthropologists suspect are still alive in the wilderness.

In recent years Nukak clans in the jungle have also had some contact with missionaries and with farmers and sedentary indigenous groups, who trade their crops for meat hunted by the Nukak, who picked up at least the notion of agriculture.

Though it is unclear how big the Nukak population once was, anthropologists believe that what little contact the Nukak have had with outsiders has most likely left them reduced by Western diseases, including influenza and the common cold, to which they have no natural defenses.

Janet Chernela, an anthropologist who has worked with the Nukak, said a study she had conducted showed that Nukak who abandon their nomadic lives and settle down, even temporarily, become susceptible to illnesses, including soil-transmitted diseases.

What little is known about this latest group is that it abandoned the Nukak National Park, which is nearly half the size of New Jersey, in the state of Guaviare. Belisario — who knows several of the towns outside the reserve, having been reared for part of his childhood by settlers who encroached on the jungle — led the way.

It was no easy journey, the Nukak told Dr. Maldonado, spanning nearly 200 miles from the eastern end of their reserve to this town, known locally as San José. They arrived in the central plaza malnourished and exhausted, as astonished by this world of low-slung jungle buildings, jeeps and paved roads as the townspeople here were astonished by them.

"When I've had some time to talk to them and asked where they came from, they just say 'the bush,' " said Xismena Martínez, who oversees aid to the Nukak for San José. "But that could mean anywhere."

The newly arrived Nukak do not provide much detail about why they left. They just say that "the Green Nukak," a possible reference to Marxist guerrillas, who wear camouflage, told them to leave.

"The Green Nukak said we could not keep walking in the jungle, or else there would be problems," explained Va-di, another Nukak man, whose words were translated from Nukak by Belisario. "The Green Nukak told us to go where it is safe."

Colombian officials wonder if farmers growing coca, the crop used to make cocaine, may also have displaced the Nukak, who are peaceloving and unlikely to fight. Another theory is that another Nukak clan pushed this one out.

But because it is assumed that they fled the civil war, the Nukak are classified as displaced people, requiring the state to provide aid and help them return home, as long as it is safe. The government, though, cannot guarantee their safety.

Nor can officials force them to go back. So the town and the government are providing them food and clothing in a forest clearing called Aguabonita outside San José.

"We can't say, 'You're a Nukak, go back to the bush,' " said Ramón Rodríguez, who is overseeing assistance efforts from the central government's emergency aid organization, Social Action.

But even as the aid arrives, the donors are well aware that the largess could well doom the Nukak to a life of dependency, ensuring not only that they never return home but also that they never learn how to live in their new world.

"People want to protect them," Ms. Martínez said. "To help them, we give them food and clothes. That doesn't help them at all in the long term."

What everyone agrees on is that the Nukak of Aguabonita must avoid the fate of the Nukak who came here in 2003 and now live in a clearing called Barrancón.

Now in their fourth year in the area, the Nukak in Barrancón lead listless lives, lolling in their hammocks awaiting food from the state. They do not work, nor have they learned Spanish. They also have no plans to return to the forest. "I think we will be here always," said Martín, a young man who is considered a leader.

In Aguabonita, the scene on a recent day was full of commotion and laughter. Naked children tugged at the shirts of two foreign journalists, offering big smiles and hugs. The men quickly welcomed the visitors into a makeshift shelter, where they laughed at some of the questions and, it seemed, wholly innocently at their own odd predicament.

Are they sad? "No!" cried a Nukak named Pia-pe, to howls of laughter. In fact, the Nukak said they could not be happier. Used to long marches in search of food, they are amazed that strangers would bring them sustenance — free.

What do they like most? "Pots, pants, shoes, caps," said Mau-ro, a young man who went to a shelter to speak to two visitors.

Ma-be added, "Rice, sugar, oil, flour." Others said they loved skillets. Also high on the list were eggs and onions, matches and soap and certain other of life's necessities.

"I like the women very much," Pia-pe said, to raucous laughs.

One young Nukak mother, Bachanede, breast-feeding her infant as she talked, said she was happy just to stay still. "When you walk in the jungle," she said, "your feet hurt a lot."

The men still go into the jungle, searching for monkeys, a delicacy the Nukak cannot seem to live without. Monkeys are grilled, dismembered and boiled, then eaten piece by piece. The women still spend their time carefully weaving intricate wristbands and hammocks, using threads from palm leaves.

All live in shelters now, enjoy constant medical attention and, on weekends, stroll into town to take in the sights. "Nukak life is hard in the jungle," Dr. Maldonado said. "You wake up thinking about food and you go hunt, you go search for nuts. So when they see us they think their food problems are over."

That is not to say the Nukak do not have plans.

Ma-be explained that the idea is to grow plantains and yucca and take the crops to town. "We can exchange it for money," he said, "and exchange the money for other things."

But first they need to learn how to cultivate crops. The Nukak say they would like their children to go to school. They also say they do not want to lose traditions, like hunting or speaking their language. "We do want to join the white family," Pia-pe said, speaking of Colombian society, "but we do not want to forget words of the Nukak."

After a recent meeting with government officials, the Nukak were clear about what else they wanted: vehicles, drivers and doctors so a group of 15 Nukak could set off on a tour of the countryside, searching for a spot to settle down.

They do not ask for much — land to plant, preferably close to a town but also on the edge of a forest. They do not want armed men around, nor coca, they say.

"They will look to see if there are nuts, monkeys, water," said Ms. Rodríguez, the town official handling the latest request. "If they find it, then, yes, that's the spot."